Scientist says greedy physicists have overestimated quantum technology

Posted yesterday by Nikita Guryanov, a physicist at the University of Oxford stinging article Filled with wild claims about the field of quantum computing and the scientists who work in it.

According to Guryanov, the quantum computing industry has been lost by greedy physicists who have inflated the technology’s potential in order to steal venture capital and get paid privately for academic research.

double weakness

In Per Gorianov’s article, the real problems began in 2010 after investors began noticing the hype surrounding quantum physics:

As more money poured in, the field grew, and it gradually became tempting for scientists to oversell their findings. Over time, salesman-type personalities, usually without any understanding of quantum physics, entered the field, held senior positions in companies and focused only on making a fuss. After a few years of this, a deeply exaggerated perspective on the promise of quantum computing has reached the mainstream, leading to widespread greed and misunderstanding and the formation of a classical bubble.

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Guryanov’s entire hypothesis seems to hinge on their assertion that “despite years of effort, no one has come close to building a quantum machine that is actually capable of solving practical problems.”

They illustrate their argument by pointing out that Rigetti, IonQ and D-Wave (three famous quantum computing companies) collectively failed to make enough profit.

According to Guryanov:

The truth is that none of these companies — or any other quantum computing company, for that matter — actually make any real money. The little revenue they generate comes mostly from consulting missions aimed at teaching other companies about “how quantum computers will help their business,” rather than really taking advantage of whatever advantages quantum computers have over classical computers.

Finally, Guryanov’s conclusion leaves no doubt about their feelings on this subject:

Well, it’s hard to say exactly when the bubble will pop up, but at some point the claims will be discovered and the funding will dry up. I just hope that when the music stops and the bubble pops, the audience will continue to listen to us physicists.

Toil and trouble

In the words of the great Jules Winnfield, character Samuel Jackson from the classic movie Pulp Fiction, “Well let me decisively reply.

I only have five words to say to Guryanov, namely: IBM, Google, Amazon, Microsoft and Intel.

I don’t think we need to dive too deeply into big tech’s balance sheets to explain that none of these companies are at financial risk. However, each of them is evolving Quantum computers.

It’s unclear why Dr. Guryanov would leave big tech completely out of the controversy. There are dozens and dozens of papers from The Google And the IBM Alone indicates breakthrough after breakthrough in this area.

Guryanov’s primary argument against quantum computing seems, inexplicably, to be that it wouldn’t be very useful for cracking. Quantum Resistant Encoder. Respectfully, this is like saying that we should not develop surgical scalpels because they are practically useless against the chain mail shield.

Article by Per Guryanov:

Shore’s algorithm has been a godsend for the quantum industry, resulting in countless amounts of funding from government security agencies around the world. However, the caveat that is forgotten here is that there are many alternative cryptographic schemes that are not vulnerable to quantum computers. It would be absolutely impossible to replace these weak schemes with so-called “quantum safes”.

This seems to indicate that Guryanov believes at least some physicists have taken advantage of governments and investors by convincing everyone that we need quantum computers for security.

This argument sounds like an event and a frontier conspiracy theory. Governments around the world are working alongside experts from companies like the Google spinout sandbox And the IBM for several years Addressing the encryption issue.

No serious person involved in decision making about how the math works will not be confused by bad marketing hype or misleading headline.

Guryanov’s speech reaches its climax as they seem to accuse physicists of manipulating the hype about quantum computing out of sheer greed:

Some physicists, in private, think there is no problem here: why not take advantage of the situation while it lasts, and take easy money from inexperienced investors? Getting paid privately while primarily doing academic research is a good deal, after all.

This is totally an accusation.

Quantum computing bubble?

But overall, it seems that Guryanov’s main complaint is not that quantum computers don’t workIt’s not very useful. Dr. Guryanov is not mistaken. Technology is far from mature.

But make no mistake, today’s quantum computing systems actually work. It doesn’t perform well enough to replace classic PCs for many useful functions – until now.

IBM Quantitative Roadmap, Diagram